Upper bounds for ruin probabilities in the Sparre Andersen model

Room 1.08 DMat, Coffee is served with speaker from 11:30.
Friday, 9 March, 2012 - 12:00

We consider the problem of estimating the adjustment coefficient R in the Sparre Andersen model, which allows us to estimate upper bounds for the ruin probability of insurance companies.
We propose a consistent estimator for R and establish a result about its asymptotic normality. Moreover, we show that it is possible to construct confidence intervals for R based on that estimator, using the tail bootstrap procedure.
We also compare the confidence intervals computed using the normal approximations and the tail bootstrap method. We present the results of a simulation study in some particular cases.

Speaker: 

Ana Cristina Freitas