Suppose $T: X \rightarrow X$ is a map of a metric space preserving a probability measure $\mu$ and $\phi: X\rightarrow R$ is a H\"older observation on $X$. We may define $M_n (x)=\max \{ \phi(x), \phi ( T x), \ldots , \phi (T^n x) \}$, the sequence of successive maxima. Extreme value theory is concerned with the existence and type of nondegenerate distributions $G(v)$ obtained by scaling $M_n$ by constants $a_n>0,b_n$ in the sense that $\mu (a_n (M_n -b_n)\le v )\rightarrow G(v)$. For iid random variables there are only three possible limiting distributions, Types I, II and III. This is a similar phenomena to the universality of the central limit theorem. Extreme value theory has implications for hitting and return time statistics by taking $\phi$ to be a function monotonically decreasing as a function of distance from a distinguished point $x_0\in X$, for example $\phi (x)=-\log d(x,x_0)$. We describe recent results on extreme value theory for certain classes of nonuniformly expanding maps, hyperbolic billards, lozi-type maps and suspension flows. Some of this work is joint with Chinmaya Gupta, Mark Holland and Andrew Torok.
Extreme value theory and hitting time statistics for systems with some degree of hyperbolicity
Matt Nicol (Univ. Houston, USA)